fbpx

Who is winning the vote right now - and who will win out come election day? Will we see President Donald Trump or President Hillary Clinton? Based on data from RealClearPolitics, here are our latest predictions and an estimate of the final electoral college result.

Will Hillary Clinton win?

Clinton has been ahead almost continuously in the Telegraph's poll of polls, which takes an average of the last five published on RealClearPolitics.

US presidential poll trackerAverage of the last five polls, based on a four-way raceTrumpClintonMar '16May '16Jul '16Sep '16Nov '163540455055Wednesday, Feb 3, 2016

Will Donald Trump win?

The presidential campaign has seen Donald Trump, once a Republican outsider, close the gap on Clinton before falling back after a series of controversies.

Trump has briefly pulled ahead a couple of times - first on 19 May. His polling threatened to consistently overtake Clinton in September, but fell back after a series of allegations.

How does the presidential election work?

Each of the 50 states, as well as the District of Columbia, has a set number of electoral college votes to award a candidate, based on the number of members of Congress it has. This is roughly in line with population. Except in Maine and Nebraska, votes are on a winner-takes-all basis.

This system matters, as the popular vote is less important than the electoral college vote. Clinton's campaign should be buoyed by big Democratic states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois and California, and these populous states could lead her to victory with their large number of electoral college votes.

The states to watch

Swing states – states that often switch between Democrat and Republican in different elections – are also important.States like Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia have the power to swing the election. So far, neither Trump nor Clinton has a significant lead in these crucial states.

How could demographics impact the US election?

Age, race, gender and education are all big dividing points in the presidential race, with polling showing that men and whites are backing Trump while women and ethnic minorities support Clinton.

Race has always been a huge dividing line in the US election, and the clash between Trump and Clinton is no different. Just 17 per cent of Hispanics and three per cent of black people back Trump, according to recent polling.

This could prove significant in this election. For example, Hispanics account for more than a fifth of the population in four key swing states.

Education is another big demographic division in the race - and there's a reason why Trump said he "loved the poorly educated".

Among high school graduates or those with a lower level of education, Trump has the backing of 44% - compared to the 36% who support Clinton.

This could prove significant in the swing states of Georgia and Nevada, which both have a high proportion of people failing to graduate from high school.

We've mapped out each candidate's road to the White House hereand you can keep up with what to look out for in the US Senate and House of Representatives elections with our handy guide.

Source : telegraph

Categorized in News & Politics

Bryan Cranston, Miley Cyrus and others may be headed overseas if they don’t get their way on Election Day

It's not uncommon for people to joke/threaten about leaving the U.S. if the "wrong" person becomes president. But Donald Trump has Hollywood in such a froth that loads of celebrities are now talking about pulling up stakes. Here's a small collection of them, ranging from silly jokes to serious plans.

Lena Dunham has been one of the most active celebrity Clinton supporters out there, but she saysshe'll move to Canadaif Trump wins: "I know a lovely place in Vancouver, and I can get my work done from there."

While promoting "The Hateful Eight,"Samuel L. Jacksontold Jimmy Kimmelthat in the wake of a Trump victory he would "move my black ass to South Africa."

Trump's Super Tuesday victory in the primaries leftMiley Cyrusdistraught. She hasn't said where she'll go, but promised onInstagramthat "I am moving if this is my president! I don't say things I don't mean!"

Cherhas a history of feuding with Trump even before he announced his candidacy and has been often asked about what she thinks about his attempts to become President.Chertweetedthat if he wins she will "move to Jupiter."

IfCherdoes get a SpaceX flight to another planet, she might haveJon Stewartas her window-seat buddy, as he joked to People Magazine that he “would consider getting in a rocket and going to another planet, because clearly this planet’s gone bonkers.”

Even before Trump officially got nominated, she promised on The View thatshe would leavefor Canada if any Republican got elected: "I literally bought my ticket, I swear."

Natasha Lyonne might not leave the country, but whenasked by Starzwhere she might go, she said she might check herself into a mental hospital.

George Lopez toldTMZthat he would move south of the border if Trump won, and that other Latinos would come with him: "If he wins, he won't have to worry about immigration; we'll all go back."

Al Sharptonsaid in Februarythat he had "reserved his ticket" to leave if Trump won and that he would support anyone necessary to beat him.

"House of Cards" star Neve Campbell is a natural-born Canadian citizen, so for her moving to another country is easy, and she's said she'sready to do it.

Chelsea Handler toldKelly Ripaon "Live!" that her plans to move aren't just words. She has already bought a house in Spain and is ready to go if necessary.

Barbra Streisand has been hitting the campaign trail hard for Hillary, but she too is ready to abandon ship if her campaign fails. She said she would decide between moving to Australia and Canada if Trump takes office.

In the final days of the campaign,Bryan Cranstonadded his name to the exodus list: "I would definitely move. ... It's not real to me that that would happen. I hope to God it won't."

But some threats to leave America are a bit more tongue-in-cheek. Take Spike Lee, who vowed to respond to a Trump victory by "moving back to the republic of Brooklyn."

Source : thewrap

Categorized in News & Politics

Donald Trump has had a lot of success in business, but how would he be for the economy as president? Here's how his economic policies would play out.

This story was originally published in October 2015. With Election Day almost here, it's worth taking another look at what the U.S. economy may look like under a President Trump. Also, check out our Donald Trump Stock Portfolio, which we'll be tracking until November 8. The sections below on immigration, taxes and trade have been updated.

There's no denying Trump has done a good job of making himself rich -- he's worth somewhere between $4.5 billion and $10 billion, depending who you ask. Can he make the rest of America rich, too?

The economy isn't something Trump looks forward to tackling. In a January interview with "Good Morning America," Trump offered up a bleak assessment of the U.S. economy but added that, in terms of fixing it, it's a task he'd rather skip.

"We're in a bubble," he said. "And, frankly, if there's going to be a bubble popping, I hope they pop before I become president because I don't want to inherit all this stuff. I'd rather it be the day before rather than the day after, I will tell you that."

In an April interview with the Washington Post, Trump reiterated his doomsday view of the economy, suggesting we might be headed for recession. But this time around, he appeared more open to the idea of his being in charge of finding remedies. "I can fix it. I can fix it pretty quickly," he said. And most recently, he maligned the Federal Reserve for creating what he says is a "false economy."

Many Americans appear to believe that is the case and that, more broadly, a Trump presidency would be good for the economy. According to a March CNBC All-America Survey, Americans rate Trump and Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton evenly on key economic issues. And a recent CNN/ORC poll shows Trump rating higher than Clinton on the economy among voters.

Trump has certainly been this election cycle's most riveting figure. He initially focused his attention on immigration reform, calling for a wall to be built between Mexico and the United States and demanding the deportation of 11 million undocumented immigrants. He has wavered on that last point as of late

He has since rolled out other policies and positions: a major tax code overhaulrepeal and replace Obamacarerenegotiate or "break" NAFTA; stop hedge funds from "getting away with murder" on taxes; reforming the Veteran's Administration; and impose import tariffs as high as 35%. All while keeping the deficit in check, growing the economy and leaving entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security untouched. Immigration remains a major pillar of his campaign, and he has moved on to the question of Muslim immigration as wellHe has laid out a plan to make Mexico pay for the wall, too.

Trump has made plenty of enemies along the way as well, including but limited to fellow GOP contenders Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, Fox News journalist Megyn Kelly, the media in general and even the Pope.

Those who fear Trump's plans should find common cause with those who love them: "I'm not sure how much of what he actually says today will be his positions a year from now," said Michael Busler, professor of finance at Stockton University.

Trump's own campaign has suggested he is playing "a part" to garner votes.

While Trump certainly has some grandiose ideas -- and equally lofty rhetoric to accompany them -- deciphering the exact nature of his economic policies is a complex task, according to John Hudak, a fellow in governance studies at Washington, D.C.-based think tank the Brookings Institution.

Not to mention the fact that if he does make it to the Oval Office, Trump won't have a free pass from Congress, even if it remains under the control of the Republican Party (as you'll see, many of his positions don't exactly hew closely to GOP policies).

Taking legislative hurdles out of the equation, what will the U.S. economy and markets look like if Trump becomes No. 45.

Trump's Expensive Immigration Plan

Trump's immigration plans cost him a handful of business deals, but they might cost the United States much more.

The American Action Forum, a right-leaning policy institute based in Washington D.C., estimates that immediately and fully enforcing current immigration law, as Trump has suggested, would cost the federal government from $400 billion to $600 billion. It would shrink the labor force by 11 million workers, reduce the real GDP by $1.6 trillion and take 20 years to complete (Trump has said he could do it in 18 months). 

"It will harm the U.S. economy," said Doug Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum and chief economic policy adviser to Sen. John McCain's 2008 presidential campaign. "Immigration is an enormous source of economic vitality."

The impact would be felt on both supply and demand.

A number of industries that depend heavily on cheap immigrant labor would be devastated -- especially agriculture. "There would be an abrupt drop in farm income and a sharp rise in food prices," said John McLaren, professor of economics at the University of Virginia with expertise in international trade, economic development and the political economy.

Companies that sell to the immigrant population would be affected as well, leading to decreased revenues for local businesses and a loss of American jobs.

"Immigrants, whether they are legal or illegal, always spend a portion of their earnings in the location where they have their jobs," McLaren said. "And in a lot of our urban centers, this is actually an important part of the economy."

He pointed to the case of Postville, Iowa, where in 2008 U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raided a slaughterhouse and meat packing plant, detaining 389 undocumented workers (and jailing 300 of them). The raid caused most of the more than 1,000 immigrants not caught to leave the town of 2,300, devastating the local economy in the process.

He also noted his own research, which suggests each immigrant creates 1.2 local jobs for local workers, most of which go to U.S. natives. "Obviously, those jobs would disappear if the undocumented were just yanked away," he said.

It is worth noting that Trump appears to have backed away from his mass deportation stance slightly as of late, outlining priorities that would lead to the deportation of what The Washington Post estimates would be 5 million to 6.5 million immigrants. He has warned, however, that "anyone who has entered the United States illegally is subject to deportation."

Trump has also discussed reducing the number of jobs held by legal immigrants, namely by increasing the prevailing wage requirements for H-1B visas (visas that allow U.S. employers to recruit and employ foreign professionals) -- an element of his plan that is often overlooked. The Republican contender's thesis is that doing so would force companies to give jobs to domestic employees instead of overseas workers. The maneuver would benefit some, but not most.

"If I'm an American software programmer, I probably would benefit somewhat from making it harder for highly-skilled software programmers from elsewhere," McClaren said. "It's really hard to argue that the country, as a whole, benefits from that. It would be bad for most Americans, and it certainly would be bad for corporations."

An extreme anti-immigration policy could also cause collateral damage to the American image. "What's the American brand after we've rounded up 11 million people and sent them packing?" said Jim Pethokoukis, a columnist and blogger at the American Enterprise Institute, a center-right think tank based on Washington, D.C. "Do people still view America the same way?"

Perhaps it's a good thing the real estate magnate's immigration plans are essentially impossible to implement

Tax Cuts for Everyone, and Deficits, Too

Trump's tax plan, unveiled in September, is perhaps the most detailed proposal he has put forth yet. It essentially entails implementing tax cuts across the board and literally sets forth a scenario in which the lowest earners get to send a form to the IRS reading, "I win."

"His tax plan is one of the most dynamic and pro-growth tax plans out there," said Merrill Matthews, resident scholar at the Institute for Policy Innovation, a Texas-based, right-leaning think tank. "You would find a huge amount of new business investment and companies willing to put their money out there to begin growing the economy."

Trump's tax plan stacks up fairly well against his fellow Republican presidential contenders. It isn't as drastic as proposals put forth by Ted Cruz and Ben Carson but does, like most GOP tax structures, favor the rich. Perhaps the biggest distinguishing feature of Trump's proposal is his hard cap on business taxes at 15%, which might be especially appealing to freelancers and the self-employed.

But there's a catch: Trump's tax plan would reduce revenue enormously, and the federal budget deficit would almost inevitably skyrocket.

Nonpartisan tax research group the Tax Foundation calculates that Trump's plan would cut taxes by $11.98 trillion over the course of a decade. It would lead to 11% growth in the GDP, 6.5% higher wages and 29% larger capital stock as well as 5.3 million jobs. However, it would also reduce tax revenues by $10.14 trillion, even when accounting for economic growth from increases in the supply of labor and capital.

"That tax cut would produce faster economic growth and a bigger economy -- as long as you pay zero attention to the fact that it would dramatically increase the deficit and budget debt," said Pethokoukis.

Trump in August adjusted his platform, calling for a top income tax rate of 33% rather than a past plan for 25% as well as the full expensing of capital investment and a deduction for childcare costs. The Tax Foundation notes that the change will reduce the revenue loss from his original plan, but it will depend significantly on how wide the new bracket thresholds are. 

Trump has promised to reduce spending, though he hasn't explicitly said how. Moreover, he has said he will maintain entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare, two of the costliest parts of the federal budget.

"It reduces federal revenue by maybe a quarter. You can construct the United States at 75% revenue, but you have to have a plan for how you'd get there," said Alan Cole, an economist with the Center for Federal Tax Policy at the Tax Foundation, a non-partisan research think tank, based in Washington, D.C. "If there weren't any spending cuts that materialized, you would see the deficit widen substantially the moment the plan was enacted."

In the face of such an enormous deficit, creditors might begin demanding higher interest rates on U.S. bonds, and the markets would be spooked.

"I can't imagine markets would react well to it. I can't imagine global investors looking to relocate will look on a United States that is driving deliberately over a fiscal cliff," said Holtz-Eakin. "Sending the U.S. into a debt spiral where you're borrowing interest on previous borrowing will generate a market reaction that will be far from benign and that will, I think, in the end overwhelm the beneficial effects."

Of course, just because Trump hasn't yet explained how he will cut spending doesn't mean he won't. "It's not unusual for a politician to say, 'I'm going to cut spending,' and not give specifics," Matthews said.

Changing Views on Health Care

In his 2000 book, The America We Deserve, Trump touted universal health care and laid out an ideology on the subject that, frankly, looks pretty un-Republican. On the campaign trail, he has promised to "take care of everyone." But his campaign health care plan, released in March, sings a different tune.

The Trump camp finally outlined some of the details of his vision for health care reform in America after months of leaving voters to put together the pieces on his ideas about the issue. The seven-point plan calls for the repeal of Obamacare, the allowance of purchases of health insurance across state lines and block-grant Medicaid to states, among other things.

"This strikes me as a mixture of what is mostly Republican orthodoxy...with a couple of oddball proposals," said Roger Feldman, professor of health policy and management at the University of Minnesota. One of the unique aspects of the plan: allowing consumers to re-import drugs from overseas.

At a February town hall event hosted by CNN, Trump was critical of Obamacare, noting that "rates are going up 25, 35, 45, 55 percent," and emphasized that he is not receiving campaign money from insurance or pharmaceutical companies "so I can do what's right."

"I don't think [Trump's health care proposal] is based on economic analysis, I think it's based on channeling a populist dislike of insurance executives," said Feldman in an October interview. "If he really tried to do the things he said he would do the insurance industry would be in the crosshairs."

The ability for consumers to buy their health insurance in other states is perhaps the health-related proposal Trump has discussed most on the campaign trail. The idea is not new -- such a bill was introduced in Congress a decade ago -- but it is impactful.

When pressed for detail on his plan at the February 25 Republican debate hosted by CNN, Trump focused on the state lines issue, repeating on a handful of occasions his proposal to get rid of "the lines" around each state "so we can have real competition."

"You get rid of the lines, it brings in competition," he said. "So, instead of having one insurance company taking care of New York, or Texas, you'll have many. They'll compete, and it'll be a beautiful thing."

"I think it could be a potentially significant improvement in insurance," Feldman, who in 2011 co-authored a paper on consumer response to a national marketplace for individual health insurance, said. "It would do that by allowing people to buy insurance in states with fewer regulations, and that would, in turn, cause a restructuring of the health insurance industry."

Based on a pre-Obamacare baseline, Feldman and other researchers concluded such a system would result in seven million more people being insured by opening up the insurance markets to more competition.

Of course, not everyone agrees.

"It doesn't actually achieve you much," said Matthews, pointing out that a policy in another state may not translate to access to the network of physicians and pre-negotiated prices locally-purchased policies often afford. "It's not a bad idea, but it is no panacea."

Too Tough on Trade?

Trump likes to talk trade. And while has said he is a "free trader," he has also clarified he doesn't like the deals the U.S. has done, such as NAFTA and the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The Art of the Deal author has promised to negotiate better agreements.

"One of the things that's often lost is that [Trump] has a strong business background, he understands how commerce works," Hudak said. "He has more business training than any American president we've ever had."

But the ramifications of some of Trump's proposals might be less than ideal.

Take China, one of his top talking points. He has proposed negotiating with the country to prevent it from manipulating its currency and keeping it too low for American manufacturers -- and workers -- from competing.

"The reality is that when China devalues its currency, the goods that they produce become cheaper, and as a result, while we may lose some manufacturing jobs, the rest of the population gets to buy things a lot cheaper than they would if the products were made [in the U.S.]," said Busler. "The jobs he would bring back are yesterday's jobs."

In November, Trump released his full plan for U.S.-China trade reform, in which he pledged to immediately declare it a "currency manipulator," force it to uphold intellectual property laws and end its "illegal export subsidies and lax labor and environmental standards," among other measures, in order to help American manufacturers -- and workers -- compete.

Trump has also pinpointed imposing tariffs on imported goods, for example, suggesting a 35% tax on automakers that manufacture cars in Mexico. Such a maneuver might bring jobs back stateside, but it might not. Instead, it could just mean people paying more for what they're buying.

"If he puts 35% taxes on products, the manufacturing will still not come back to the U.S., and all it will mean is U.S. consumers have to pay 35% more for the products that are made outside the country," said Busler.

"American consumers would end up paying more for things, and that hurts the economy if you're putting tariffs on those other things," said Matthews.

The Trump Effect

Trump's brand has contributed an enormous amount to his net worth -- he says more than $3 billion. But how will that Trumpiness translate to the White House? Perhaps not well.

"That off-the-cuff, gruff, tell-it-like-it-is approach that Donald Trump has may be great for headlines and a stadium full for supporters, but what unguarded comments like that from a president do is make dramatic fluctuations in the world economy, in stock markets in the United States and in the world," said Hudak. "Think about how much the market reaction is to the choice of two or three words from the Federal Reserve chairman."

The words chosen by American officials can have serious economic repercussions, and the country -- and the world -- have equally high expectations for their commercial and diplomatic capabilities. The blunt way of speaking that has made Trump so popular among Republican voters could be detrimental once he's in the Oval Office.

"His brand of rhetoric would actually make for profound economic instability," Hudak said. In an October interview with The Hill, Trump warned of a looming recession and stock market bubble and targeted Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen in his comments. "She's keeping the economy going, barely," he said. Such comments coming from a presidential candidate are one thing -- coming from the president of the United States they would be another.

But Trump is a smart guy, and may be able to adjust. Matthews pointed to the Clinton administration, which took a few months to settle in.

"You wonder if the Trump administration would be the same until they got things under control, or got him under control," he said.

Not everyone agrees.

"I think Donald Trump is good for the Republican Party, and I think he's good for the country," Busler said. "Donald Trump is not afraid to face the public and raise his voice, even if it is politically unpopular."

Source : thestreet
Categorized in News & Politics

SANDY — 2016 has provided an interesting election cycle to say the least, and an online study by a Utah-based digital marketing agency shows exactly how interesting it is online.

Oozle Media, which is based in Sandy, searches trends online for clients. In coming up with a political-themed project with just weeks until the general election, the company decided to analyze how search engine company Google autocompleted search resultsfor the top-two candidates.

“It’s a pretty interesting way to get an insight into what the general populous thinks (of) a subject by what they search in Google,” said David Smith, Oozle chief operating officer. “I think this is a real unvarnished view on what people are comparing these (candidates) to. Most of it I think is done in jest, but I don’t think you would have seen this same sort of intensity and volume with the previous election.”

While a couple of results are outlandish, a characteristic was noticed among the results between Trump and Clinton: there’s plenty of negativity toward the Republican and Democratic candidates.

“There’s been unprecedented negativity in this campaign and both of the (Republican and Democratic) candidates are disliked by a majority of their party, so you see that come through in the search results,” Smith said, noting that much of what is searched is based on what people see and hear and type into Google to research further.

So what are the crazier results? Clinton is referred to a Sith Lord from the “Star Wars” movie franchise. Trump got compared to “an angry aimless dictator.” Those are just a few of the results.

Both were compared to villains from the Hunger Games franchise, Oozle team leader Patrik Connole said — but, conversely, both were also referred to as “awesome” and as “bae” in the results showing that the results aren’t all bad.

“(It was) more creative than we thought when got started,” Smith said.

Each search was conducted using an incognito tab to lift bias in Google’s regional results customization, thus giving a larger national result instead of what Utah’s results are.

Smith said Oozle’s future projects don’t bode well for the leading candidates either. The company is finishing a scatterplot based on Google results of “positive to negative and if that inspires confidence or fear.”

“Overwhelmingly for both candidates, it’s in the ‘inspires fear’ and ‘is negative’ quadrant of the scatterplot,” Smith said. “I’d say three-quarters of the search terms are negative and not confidence inspiring.”

The negativity toward the leading candidates has helped third-party candidates, especially in the Beehive State.

On Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver was a guest on “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” and said that Utah’s disdain for either of the major candidates led independent candidate Evan McMullin to his recent surge in the polls.

Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin, center background, speaks during a rally Friday, Oct. 21, 2016, in Draper, Utah. (Rick Bowmer, AP Photo)

“Like literally nobody ever heard of him until seven days ago,” Silver said on the show. “He moved up from 10 percent to 31 percent in the polls in the span of about a week.”

It’s almost no coincidence, Smith said, that McMullin's recent rise has happened among Google search results in the same way his name has risen in the poll numbers — and it all happened after the leaked “Access Hollywood” video of Donald Trump led to a slew of Utah Republican leaders revoking their endorsement of the candidate.

“(McMullin’s) poll numbers track almost exactly with the number of searches that are happening,” Smith said. “That’s all happened after the Donald Trump video got released.”

Source : ksl

Categorized in Internet Search

The Bucks County Courier Times' recent editorial dismisses Donald Trump as unqualified to be president.

The Courier Times alleges that the failure of establishment Republican politicians to support Trump is an indictment of his character, statesmanship, political acumen. The Courier Times just doesn't get it: politicians' refusal to endorse is exactly why Donald Trump is presidential material. People know and are disgusted with the "two" party system (let's be honest, there is just one party, two wings on the same bird, two sides to the same coin, controlled and owned by the mega-banks who control our money supply through the private Federal Reserve Corporation, and huge corporations). It is Trump's credo of "Americanism not Globalism," that resonates throughout this country, which the establishment-owned party and media fear and despise.

People like Paul Ryan and the other bought-and-paid-for politicians have completely colluded with Barack Obama and the globalists in opening our borders, allowing the continued export of our manufacturing base, allowing Obamacare to destroy the middle class, and on and on. These GOP establishment Republicans do not want Donald Trump to win, for fear that they will not be able to maintain the status quo. They fear a shakeup of business as usual.

Hillary Clinton's threats to her husband's rape victims if they went public (surely worse than Trump's trash talk), theft of the nomination from Bernie Sanders (confirmed in a recent Stanford University study and WikiLeaks emails -- search engine it), psychotic anger issues (documented by Secret Service agents in books and interviews), thefts of hundreds of millions of dollars from impoverished Haitians after the devastating earthquake (the Clinton Foundation tax records show the Haitian people received less than 5 percent of proceeds from the Foundation, the rest going to the Clintons, their family and friends), not to mention the WikiLeaks confirmation that this Foundation is a criminal money laundering enterprise in which business contracts were sold for contributions, including -- get ready -- 20 percent of the U.S. uranium supply to the Russians for $100 million, speak volumes about her character (or rather, lack of it).

And let's not forget her commitment to open borders, threatening our national security. Space constraints prevent me from continuing.

There is virtually no discussion of the damning WikiLeaks emails in the corporate media (including, sadly, this paper). Instead, we are fed distorted narratives and manipulated polls (for example, sampling twice as many Democrats as Republicans to desperately try to convince the public Hillary is ahead). To read the WikiLeaks emails and see a non-corporate perspective, please go to independent, non-corporate press sites, like the DrudgeReport.com, Breitbart.com, WikiLeaks.com and others, which actually print the emails, allowing people to make up their own minds.

There is a reason the mainstream media has a trustworthy rating of 6 percent (recent Gallup poll). We must discover the truth for ourselves.

Source : buckscountycouriertimes

Categorized in News & Politics

Instead of awkwardly trying to send viewers to HillaryClinton.com during the final presidential debate, the Democratic nominee has decided everyone can just use Google for fact-checking. 

Hillary Clinton said, “Donald is implying that he didn’t support the invasion of Iraq” and when her opponent Donald Trump twice interjected “Wrong!” she told the audience to just Google it. “You know, I just want everybody to go Google it. Google ‘Donald Trump Iraq’ and you will see the dozens of sources which verify that he was for the invasion of Iraq.”

Trump said “Wrong!” a third time, but some viewers followed her instructions. When Clinton made the comment, there was a surge of people searching the phrase “Donald Trump Iraq.” Since Google doesn’t disclose the absolute volume of the searches, it’s hard to know what percent of the electorate wanted to know more about Trump’s position, but it’s clear people did visit the search engine.

hillery.png

(Via Google Trends)

To reiterate her point, Clinton tweeted a link to a Google search for “Trump Iraq war” after the debate. She is the literal embodiment of “Let me Google that for you.”

If you do choose to follow Clinton’s advice, you’ll find several fact-checking websites have verified that Trump did support the war and that his claims of opposition are false. Clinton doesn’t need to rely on her own website to clear up this debate issue.

Source : qz.com

Categorized in News & Politics

Don’t we just love our Google data, folks? I swear, we have the best Google data! Granted, Google has already censored crucial election data, but thank god that the Google Trends tool is still a thing.

Even though we know that Trump is going to win by a landslide, it remains unclear that Google search data can predict election results. 

Although, being that “how to vote for Trump” is crushing Hillary, the Clinton camp should be very concerned. Seriously, “how to vote for Trump” has nearly twice as many searches as “how to vote for Hillary”. Feel free to spin that as “uneducated” Trump supporters. But, the fact that more potential voters are searching how to vote for Trump should be extremely telling.

GOOGLE TRENDS: HOW TO VOTE FOR TRUMP IS CRUSHING HILLARY

img class="alignnone wp-image-10818 size-full" src="http://regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_ht.png" data-src="http://regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_ht.png" alt="how to vote for trump" width="618" height="343" srcset="https://i2.wp.com/regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_ht.png?w=952 952w, /

Personally, I’m not one who usually finds humor in search data. And to be honest, it would be incredibly lame if I did. However, the Google Trends data above is absolutely hilarious. How pathetic and weak does your campaign have to be that potential voters are rarely searching for how to vote for you? Hashtag, low energy. To help put the data above into perspective, let’s add “how to vote for Obama” into the mix.
 
HOW TO VOTE FOR TRUMP VS CLINTON & OBAMA

img class="alignnone wp-image-10819 size-full" src="http://regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_hto.png" data-src="http://regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_hto.png" alt="how to vote for trump" width="680" height="373" srcset="https://i1.wp.com/regated.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/how_to_vote_hto.png?w=955 955w, /

Well, would you look at that? How to vote for Trump has nearly just as many search inquiries as “how to vote for Obama”. For anyone who is a Clinton supporter, this is the point where you should all collectively begin to panic. As much as the polls are actively trying to rig this election for Hillary Clinton, the organic search results don’t lie. Furthermore, for anyone who was searching “how to vote for Trump” that may have stumbled across this article because our SEO game is that on point, I will link how to vote for Trump below. Also, for those of you who truly want to help Make America Great Again, please check out the hashtag #MAGA3X. Basically, #MAGA3X revolves around two key concepts; share three pro Trump articles a day and bring three friends to the polls. Together, we will finally Make America Great Again!

Source : regated

Categorized in Internet Search

The election is in 15 days. And the electoral map just keeps looking grimmer and grimmer for Donald Trump.

We are making three changes to The Fix map this week, all favoring Hillary Clinton.

[Everything you need to know about the 2016 election]

First, we are moving Nevada, where Trump had shown surprising strength for much of this year, from "toss up" to "lean Democratic" amid signs that the state is slipping away from him. Clinton has led in six of the last seven polls in the state — the other showed the race a tie — and now has an average lead of more than four points, according to Real Clear Politics. Trump's collapse in the state is badly impacting Republicans's chances of winning Sen. Harry Reid's (D) open seat. Rep. Joe Heck (R), who led for much of the year, now finds himself ehind former state Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D).We're also moving Utah — yes, Utah! — from "lean Republican" to "toss up" as independent candidate Evan McMullin, a Utah native and Mormon, continues to show considerable polling resiliency in the Beehive State. Count us as skeptical that Clinton can win in such a Republican state. But McMullin is taking lots of Republican voters away from Trump, and it's not out of the question the third party candidate wins the state's six electoral votes.

And, finally — and much to our amazement — we are adding Texas to our list of competitive states, rating it as "lean Republican." The last three polls taken in the state have shown Trump ahead by three points (twice) and four points; the Real Clear Politics polling average in the state puts Trump up 4.6 points. It speaks to how badly Trump is performing even in longtime Republican strongholds that the debate going forward won't be whether Texas should stay on the list of competitive races but whether it should move to "toss up."

Those changes tilt the electoral map — and math — even more heavily toward Clinton. Clinton now has 323 electoral votes either solidly for her or leaning her way. Trump has just 180. (Reminder: You need 270 to win.) And, virtually all of the vulnerability from here until Nov. 8 is on Trump's side. Arizona and Utah, two states that haven't voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996 and 1964, respectively, are toss ups! Texas, the one large-population state that has long been considered solidly Republican is within mid-single digits! States like Colorado and Virginia — swing states in the last two elections — aren't even real opportunities for Trump anymore!

Everywhere you look, Trump is under-performing where Mitt Romney was at this point in 2012. And Romney only got 206 electoral votes and lost by 5 million or so in the popular vote.

Here's our full list of battleground states.

Toss-up (35 electoral votes)

Arizona (11)

Ohio (18)

Utah (6)

Lean Democratic (127 electoral votes)

Colorado (9)

Florida (29)

Michigan (16)

Pennsylvania (20)

Nevada (6)

New Hampshire (4)

New Mexico (5)

North Carolina (15)

Virginia (13)

Wisconsin (10)

Lean Republican (74 electoral votes)

Alaska (3)

Georgia (16)

Indiana (11)

Iowa (6)

Missouri (10)

Texas (38)

Source : washingtonpost

Categorized in News & Politics

Donald Trump announced Friday that on the first day of his administration he plans to “rebuild the Navy.”

Trump says the Manhattan Project has shrunk during the Obama-Clinton years to its lowest level.

In the announcement Trump proposes a significant increase in the size of the U.S. Navy.

The Trump campaign says his 350-ship goal “conforms to that blueprint outlines by the bipartisan National Defense Panel.”

The announcement says the Philadelphia Navy Yard can largely help lead the way to reach the Fleet goal.

Although the announcement says the yard was shut down in the 1990s, the Trump administration would aim to utilize the parts of the yard that still exist in order to expand its activities to meet the Fleet’s growing needs.

Trump plans to grow the Navy’s surface and undersea assets.

Categorized in Others

After the third and final presidential debate of 2016, the only uncertainty remaining in this race is what Donald Trump will say in his concession speech.

Restrained (for him), disciplined (for him), Donald Trump got through a little more than one hour of television without major incident. Then of course it all went wrong.

But how much did it matter that it all went wrong? The election is shaping up as … not close. What constituency will exist after November 8 for Donald Trump’s complaints about the media, the voting machines, and the zombie voters of Pennsylvania? Most likely, very little.

The more future-relevant takeaways from the debate in Las Vegas debate concern Hillary Clinton, and the kind of president she’ll be. I noted four over the course of 90 minutes.

First: She really does intend to try to raise taxes. Without much prompting, she worked her own way to her version of “go where the money is”—in reply to a highly generic first question. “Cutting taxes on the wealthy—we tried that,” shesaid, omitting that of course the upper-income Bush tax cuts expired in 2013. The top tax rates are higher today than at any time since the early 1980s. If it’s up to President Clinton, they’ll go higher still.

Second: She’s gearing up for an early big battle over immigration, the first 100 days. This is not news of course. But here was a chance to soften or modify the commitment. She doubled down instead on a pathway to citizenship for all but “violent” criminal undocumented immigrants. Will the battle over this plan define her first year?

Third: Trade tensions will intensify no matter who is elected president. The U.S. has imposed anti-dumping duties on Chinese aluminum since the spring of 2011. Hillary Clinton detoured to reference aluminum dumping as a continuing problem. She reaffirmed a pledge against the Trans-Pacific Partnership: “I’m against it now. I'll be against it after the election. I'll be against it when I'm president.”

Fourth: She will reach the presidency as she sought it, deeply cautious and risk-averse. In the third debate, as so often before, she refused opportunities to turn tables, launch surprises, and generally do the unexpected. She answered the questions and answered them competently. She let Donald Trump defeat himself. She jabbed and triggered, but she risked no decisive action. A glimpse of the future?

Source : theatlantic.com

Categorized in News & Politics
Page 3 of 5

airs logo

Association of Internet Research Specialists is the world's leading community for the Internet Research Specialist and provide a Unified Platform that delivers, Education, Training and Certification for Online Research.

Get Exclusive Research Tips in Your Inbox

Receive Great tips via email, enter your email to Subscribe.

Follow Us on Social Media